Actuarial core
The math behind risk, VISIBLE (no black box). Per indicator: the credibility-weighted estimate — how much comes from your own history and how much from the sector (Bühlmann–Straub), with the weight stated in text; the frequency × severity breakdown of events (default, rental breakdown, project over…
What you find on this screen
A portrait of the screen, read from the screen itself — it changes when the screen changes.
The list shows
PartnerTenantsActiveChurnAverage implementation timeMeasured adoptionSurvivalTime (months)At risk (n)Churn (d)RedactedHazard (d/n)+1
Form fields
Situação
Dh Implantacao Inicio
Dh Ativacao
Dh Churn
Dh Cadastro
Start here
Each partner, measured
In the same pattern as the agent scoreboards: tenants implemented, active and lost, average implementation time, measured adoption of the portfolio — and the survival curve, which shows the fragility of the portfolio before churn becomes a done statistic.
What this screen is
Each channel partner, MEASURED — in the pattern of the digital employee scoreboards. Per partner: tenants implemented, average implementation time (days from start until the tenant becomes active), measured adoption (reusing the per-tenant adoption scoreboard) and the SURVIVAL CURVE of their portfolio (Kaplan–Meier from the actuarial core): each tenant is a subject, churn is the event and those still active are censored — it is partner churn seen BEFORE it happens. Read-only, visible math.
How to
The detail per partner
Click the partner's row to open their portfolio curve: for each time point, how many were at risk, how many left (churn), how many were censored, the period hazard and the cumulative survival S(t).
Rules
Como a curva de sobrevivência funciona
Kaplan–Meier method, the same as in clinical statistics: each tenant is a subject, churn is the event, and those still active are CENSORED — valuable information (survived until now), not a missing row. That is what allows measuring young portfolios without waiting for years of history.
How to interpret
The earlier the curve drops, the more fragile the portfolio — churn in the first months points to poor implementation; a late drop points to abandonment due to lack of adoption. "no event" = no churn observed yet: the curve is flat at 100%, which is either great or just too early to tell.
Frequently asked questions
Colunas com traço
Implementation time and adoption only appear when there is a measured basis — adoption reuses the per-tenant adoption scoreboard, and without usage telemetry the screen prefers the dash to an invented number.
Which question this screen answers
Which partner implements fastest, with the highest adoption — and which portfolio has churn approaching? Per partner the screen shows tenants implemented, average implementation time (from start until the tenant is active), adoption measured by the same per-tenant adoption scoreboard and the portfolio's survival curve (Kaplan–Meier: each tenant is a subject, churn is the event, those still active are censored). It is read-only, with the math visible — partner churn seen before it happens.
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